PCB Industry Growth Rates and Book-to-Bill Ratios Announced
Rigid PCB shipments were up 23.9 percent while bookings increased 34.4 percent in July 2010 from July 2009. Year to date, rigid PCB shipments were up 19.9 percent and bookings have grown 34.9 percent. Compared to the previous month, rigid PCB shipments decreased 14.7 percent and rigid bookings decreased 16.9 percent. The book-to-bill ratio for the North American rigid PCB industry in July 2010 stood at 1.11.

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Flexible circuit shipments in July 2010 were up 38.2 percent, and bookings were up 28.8 percent compared to July 2009. Year to date, flexible circuit shipments increased 5.8 percent and bookings were up 17.5 percent. Compared to the previous month, flexible circuit shipments went up 4.6 percent and flex bookings declined 4.9 percent. The North American flexible circuit book-to-bill ratio in July 2010 remained positive but slipped down to 1.06.

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For rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined, industry shipments in July 2010 increased 25.2 percent from July 2009, as orders booked increased 33.9 percent from July 2009. Year to date, combined industry shipments were up 18.7 percent and bookings were up 33.4 percent. Compared to the previous month, combined industry shipments for July 2010 decreased 13.1 percent and bookings went down 16.0 percent. The combined (rigid and flex) industry book-to-bill ratio in July 2010 was 1.11.

“We are still seeing double-digit year-on-year growth rates for both rigid PCBs and flexible circuits as of July,” said IPC President & CEO Denny McGuirk. “July is typically a slower sales month than June, but sales are strong. The most encouraging indicator is the book-to-bill ratio, which continues solidly positive for the 15th consecutive month,” he added. “That is a sign of continuing strength in sales for the remainder of the year.”

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The book-to-bill ratios are calculated by dividing the value of orders booked over the past three months by the value of sales billed during the same period from companies in IPC’s survey sample.  A ratio of more than 1.00 suggests that current demand is ahead of supply, which is a positive indicator for sales growth over the next two to three months.

View all the charts in PDF

Book-to-bill ratios and growth rates for rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined are heavily affected by the rigid PCB segment. Rigid PCBs represent an estimated 89 percent of the current PCB industry in North America, according to IPC’s World PCB Production and Laminate Market Report.

The Role of Domestic Production
IPC’s monthly survey of the North American PCB industry tracks bookings and shipments from U.S. and Canadian facilities, which provide indicators of regional demand. These numbers do not measure U.S. and Canadian PCB production. To track regional production trends, IPC asks survey participants for the percent of their reported shipments that were produced domestically (i.e., in the USA or Canada). In July 2010, 83 percent of total PCB shipments reported were domestically produced. Domestic production accounted for 83 percent of rigid PCB and 81 percent of flexible circuit shipments in July by IPC’s survey participants. These numbers are significantly affected by the mix of companies in IPC’s survey sample, which changed slightly in January, but are kept constant through the remainder of the year.

Bare Circuits Versus Assembly
Flexible circuit sales typically include value-added services such as assembly, in addition to the bare flex circuits. In July, the flexible circuit manufacturers in IPC’s survey sample indicated that bare circuits accounted for about 77 percent of their shipment value reported for the month. Assembly and other services make up a large and growing segment of flexible circuit producers’ businesses. This figure is also sensitive to changes in the survey sample, which may occur at the beginning of each calendar year.

Interpreting the Data
Year-on-year and year-to-date growth rates provide the most meaningful view of industry growth. Month-to-month comparisons should be made with caution as they may reflect cyclical effects. Because bookings tend to be more volatile than shipments, changes in the book-to-bill ratios from month to month may not be significant unless a trend of more than three consecutive months is apparent. It is also important to consider changes in bookings and shipments to understand what is driving changes in the book-to-bill ratio.

The information in IPC’s monthly PCB industry statistics is based on data provided by a representative sample of both rigid and flexible PCB manufacturers in the USA and Canada. IPC publishes the PCB Book-to-Bill Ratio and the PCB Statistical Program Report each month. Statistics for the previous month are not available until the last week of the following month.

Contact:
Sharon Starr, IPC Director of Market Research
P:  +1 847-597-2817
E:  SharonStarr@ipc.org

Please visit our home page at: www.pcb-solutions.com We are a supplier of Domestic and off-shore Rigid, Rigid-Flex and Flex Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs), Domestic Military PCBs, Domestic Tier I PCBA, Domestic Sheet Metal, Domestic Injection Molding and other Custom Fabricated Services.

In 2009, the output value of the global PCB industry reached about US$40.6 billion, down 15.83% over 2008. This was mainly caused by continuously decreasing PCB shipment and average prices. As for main sub-sectors, the output value of the global substrate, rigid PCB and flexible printed circuit (FPC) board sectors descended by 50%, 20% and 3.8% respectively compared with 2008. The decline of the global substrate and rigid PCB sectors is mainly due to the sharp drop of sales volume of desktops and medium to high-end notebooks. In comparison, the global FPC board sector declined more slightly in 2009, thanks to the growing number of LED backlight modules and Smart Phone FPC boards as well as the touch panel boom.

From 2000 to 2009, in terms of output value, computer, communications, industrial/medical, military and automotive PCBs decreased by 3%, 13.5%, 20.5%, 20.1% and 26.8% respectively, while consumer electronics PCB and package substrate increased by 15.8% and 68% respectively. Single-sided/double-sided PCB and multilayer PCB decreased by 37.3% and 25.2% respectively, while high-density interconnect (HDI) board, package substrate and FPC increased by 163.1%, 68.1% and 90.0% respectively.

In 2009, from the perspective of the global PCB distribution pattern, Mainland China, Japan and Taiwan were still the main production areas, South Korea continued to expand its PCB industry, while Europe and the United States were in recession. Compared with Japan and South Korea with advantages in high-end products such as IC substrate and FPC board, and Taiwan with advantages in mobile phone PCB, China, mainly engaged in single-sided PCB and multilayer PCB, is inferior in terms of the technical content of the PCB industry.

In 2009, China’s PCB industry for the first time saw its output value decline slightly by 3.6% to US$16.35 billion. Nevertheless, its share in the global PCB output value continued to rise. Among China’s top 100 PCB enterprises in terms of sales revenue, local ones performed well, for example, the sales revenue of Bomin Electronic rose by 150.7% over 2008.

Here is to a better 2010…

Please visit our home page at: www.pcb-solutions.com We are a supplier of Domestic and off-shore Rigid, Rigid-Flex and Flex Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs), Domestic Military PCBs, Domestic Tier I PCBA, Domestic Sheet Metal, Domestic Injection Molding and other Custom Fabricated Services.

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PCB Solutions always recommends that you contact the material supplier and review their data prior to making a decision.  The data below is available to help you navigate the terms but does not serve as advice on which material to chose for your application because there are so many variables for Rigid, Rigid Flex and Flex PCB designs.

1. Dielectric Constant (Dk or Er):

Technical definition: The ratio of the capacitance of a capacitor with the given dielectric to the capacitance of a capacitor having air for its dielectric but otherwise identical.  The Dk value is calculated as the relative permittivity of a material.

Why this is important: The Dielectric Constant is a major factor in calculating and controlling impedance requirements of signals on PCBs.  All PCB materials (cores, prepregs, solder masks), have a Dk value.  The actual Dk value can vary based on resin content of materials.  Values typically range from 3.5 to 5.9.  Specific material is available for both very low Dk and Very high Dk values. A low Dk material is often used for RF applications while a high Dk is often used for High Frequency applications.

2. Glass Transition Temperature (Tg):

Technical definition: The temperature at which a polymer changes from hard and brittle to soft and pliable.

Why this is important: The Tg indicates the temperature at which the PCB base material starts yielding. It is important to avoid any yielding of PCB base materials, so the Tg is not an indicator for the operating temperature of the PCB. The Tg temperature can usually only be sustained for a very short time.  The actual minimum Tg required for your PCB will depend on many factors including surface finish and assembly process; however, the industry guideline for most ROHS applications in a minimum material Tg of 170 degrees C.

3. Decomposition Temperature (Td):

Technical definition: The temperature at which material weight changes by 5%.

Why this is important: The decomposition is the breaking of chemical bonds in the resin system. The resin in the laminate is basically burning up.  This value is widely considered to be more critical than the Tg value with regards to ROHS considerations during the assembly process.  Like Tg, the actual minimum Td required for your PCB will depend on many factors including surface finish and assembly process; however, the industry guideline for most ROHS applications in a minimum material Td of 340 degrees C.

4. Loss tangent (Dissipation Factor):

Technical definition: The ratio at any particular frequency between the real and imaginary parts of the impedance of the capacitor.

Why this is important: A large loss tangent means you have a greater amount of dielectric absorption, which can cause the value of capacitance to change with frequency.  If clean, consistent, capacitance is a requirement of your design, then look for a material with low loss tangent values. For high speed designs (greater than 1Ghz) it may be recommended to choose a material with a dissipation factor of less than .015.

5. Moisture Absorption:

Technical definition: Maximum percent of moisture absorbed by material in high-humidity conditions.

Why this is important: Absorbed moisture can raise Dk values, expand the board, and cause thermal defects such as substrate blisters, barrel cracking and delamination during assembly. If the PCBs are stored for only short times in low-humidity locations before assembly, then moisture may not be a problem. However if the PCBs are stored in high humidity for long periods of time, then they may need to be pre-baked before assembly.

6. Coefficient of Thermal Expansion (CTE):

Technical definition: A material’s fractional change in length for a given unit change of temperature.

Why this is important: Glass, copper, gold and nickel all have fixed expansion rates up to their respective melting points.  A large difference in laminate expansion rates can cause strain on the plated hole wall causing cracked barrels and lifted land patterns during the assembly process.  The common unit of measurement for CTE is ppm/°C, parts per million per degree centigrade. 1 ppm is equivalent to 0.0001% of total observed dimension. A material rated at 250 ppm/°C would change 0.025% in dimension for every degree change in temperature. On a .100” thick board over a 100°C temperature range there would be a total thickness change of 2.5% which equates to 0.0025”

7. Thermal conductivity:

Technical definition: Ability of a material to conduct heat.

Why this is important: As the power and density of components on a PCB rises, the need to dissipate heat through the base material of the PCB increases.

Materials that offer greater thermal conductivity can be utilized with designs that have high power, or high heat output devices such as LED’s, coils or relays.

9. Peel Strength

Technical definition: The strength of the bond between base material and copper cladding as measured by IPC-TM-650.

Why this is important: As components become smaller, their footprint or pad patterns also become smaller, resulting in much less area of contact between the base material and the copper land patterns.  The strength of the bond at this area will determine the ability of the pads to avoid lifting from the material surface.

10. Arc Resistance

Technical definition: Measure of electric breakdown condition along an insulating surface, caused by the formation of a conductive path on the surface.

Why this is important: Typically a consideration for high-voltage/high power PCBs.  Arc resistance is a measurement, in seconds, of the amount of time for breakdown along the surface of the material.

If you have questions regarding materials or anything else PCB- Send us an email at info@PCB-solutions.com and we will be happy to guide you in the right direction.

Please visit our home page at: www.pcb-solutions.com We are a supplier of Domestic and off-shore Rigid, Rigid-Flex and Flex Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs), Domestic Military PCBs, Domestic Tier I PCBA, Domestic Sheet Metal, Domestic Injection Molding and other Custom Fabricated Services.

PCB Industry Growth Rates and Book-to-Bill Ratios Announced
Rigid PCB shipments were up 31.4 percent while bookings increased 45.8 percent in May 2010 from May 2009. Year to date, rigid PCB shipments were up 18.0 percent and bookings have grown 36.3 percent. Compared to the previous month, rigid PCB shipments increased 1.3 percent and rigid bookings increased 6.5 percent. The book-to-bill ratio for the North American rigid PCB industry in May 2010 continued its climb to 1.13.

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Flexible circuit shipments in May 2010 were up 10.5 percent, and bookings were up 59.3 percent compared to May 2009. Year to date, flexible circuit shipments were down 2.6 percent and bookings were up 16.7 percent. Compared to the previous month, flexible circuit shipments went up 16.0 percent and flex bookings grew by 33.4 percent. The North American flexible circuit book-to-bill ratio in May 2010 made a long leap up to 1.18.

View all the charts in PDF

For rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined, industry shipments in May 2010 increased 29.6 percent from May 2009, as orders booked increased 46.8 percent from May 2009. Year to date, combined industry shipments were up 16.2 percent and bookings were up 34.7 percent. Compared to the previous month, combined industry shipments for May 2010 increased 2.2 percent and bookings went up 8.3 percent. The combined (rigid and flex) industry book-to-bill ratio in May 2010 increased to 1.13.

“Both yearly and monthly growth rates in the North American PCB industry are now positive,” said IPC President & CEO Denny McGuirk. “That means the industry is not only doing better than last year, but is growing monthly as well. Despite strong sales,” he added, “orders are growing even faster. That keeps moving the book-to-bill ratio up, which indicates continued sales growth this year.”

View all the charts in PDF

The book-to-bill ratios are calculated by dividing the value of orders booked over the past three months by the value of sales billed during the same period from companies in IPC’s survey sample. A ratio of more than 1.00 suggests that current demand is ahead of supply, which is a positive indicator for sales growth over the next two to three months.

View all the charts in PDF

Book-to-bill ratios and growth rates for rigid PCBs and flexible circuits combined are heavily affected by the rigid PCB segment. Rigid PCBs represent an estimated 90 percent of the current PCB industry in North America, according to IPC’s World PCB Production and Laminate Market Report.

The Role of Domestic Production
IPC’s monthly survey of the North American PCB industry tracks bookings and shipments from U.S. and Canadian facilities, which provide indicators of regional demand. These numbers do not measure U.S. and Canadian PCB production. To track regional production trends, IPC asks survey participants for the percent of their reported shipments that were produced domestically (i.e., in the USA or Canada). In May 2010, 84 percent of total PCB shipments reported were domestically produced. Domestic production also accounted for 84 percent of rigid PCB and flexible circuit shipments in May by IPC’s survey participants. These numbers are significantly affected by the mix of companies in IPC’s survey sample, which changed slightly in January, but will remain constant through the remainder of the year.

Bare Circuits Versus Assembly
Flexible circuit sales typically include value-added services such as assembly, in addition to the bare flex circuits. In May, the flexible circuit manufacturers in IPC’s survey sample indicated that bare circuits accounted for about 58 percent of their shipment value reported for the month. Assembly and other services make up a large and growing segment of flexible circuit producers’ businesses. This figure is also sensitive to changes in the survey sample, which may occur at the beginning of each calendar year.

Interpreting the Data
Year-on-year and year-to-date growth rates provide the most meaningful view of industry growth. Month-to-month comparisons should be made with caution as they may reflect cyclical effects. Because bookings tend to be more volatile than shipments, changes in the book-to-bill ratios from month to month may not be significant unless a trend of three consecutive months or more is apparent. It is also important to consider changes in bookings and shipments to understand what is driving changes in the book-to-bill ratio.

The information in IPC’s monthly PCB industry statistics is based on data provided by a representative sample of both rigid and flexible PCB manufacturers in the USA and Canada. IPC publishes the PCB Book-to-Bill Ratio and the PCB Statistical Program Report each month. Statistics for the previous month are not available until the last week of the following month.

Contact:
Sharon Starr, IPC Director of Market Research
P:  +1 847-597-2817
E:  SharonStarr@ipc.org

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